I happened to notice that both this recent changeset and the ones in August seem to only move nodes with id’s roughly in the range between 106000 and 118000. Does this suggest a JOSM or OpenStreetMap API bug? Or is there a more likely explanation? Could the JOSM option to upload the data in chunks be related somehow?
Both users seem to use JOSM version 15238, although that could be faked I suppose.

Hopefully a better understanding of the causes of these changes can avoid future problems.